Match Analysis

Lens vs Lorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
31%
28%
Lens winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.00
2.56Avg goals scored0.66
1.68Avg goals conceded0.46
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Lens xG

Expected goals

0.8

Lorient xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

17%

10

17%

01

13%

11

13%

20

8%

21

7%

Home

Lens

Lens

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Lensall timeLorient
2W
1D
1W
14 Mar 26
Lorient21Lens
2 Nov 25
Lens30Lorient
3 May 24
Lens20Lorient
4 Nov 23
Lorient00Lens

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Lorient?

Lens is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 1, and Lorient won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lens Win41%
Draw31%
Lorient Win28%
BTTS35%
Over 2.527%

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