Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Lens xG
Expected goals
0.8
Lorient xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
17%
1–0
17%
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
2–0
8%
2–1
7%
Home
Lens
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Lorient
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Lorient?
Lens is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 1, and Lorient won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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