Match Analysis

Lens vs Lyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
17%
24%
Lens winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.40
3.57Avg goals scored1.83
1.47Avg goals conceded0.96
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.9

Lyon xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

21

7%

22

6%

31

6%

32

6%

11

5%

41

5%

Home

Lens

Lens

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

3.6 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Lensall timeLyon
4W
1D
1W
17 May 26
Lyon04Lens
16 Aug 25
Lens01Lyon
4 May 25
Lyon12Lens
15 Sep 24
Lens00Lyon
3 Mar 24
Lyon03Lens
2 Dec 23
Lens32Lyon

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Lyon?

Lens is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 4, drew 1, and Lyon won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lens Win59%
Draw17%
Lyon Win24%
BTTS80%
Over 2.586%

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