Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Lille xG
Expected goals
1
Brest xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–0
6%
1–1
6%
Home
Lille
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Brest
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lille vs Brest?
Lille is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lille's current form?
Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lille won 2, drew 3, and Brest won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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