Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Lille xG
Expected goals
0.3
Le Havre AC xG
17%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
27%
0–0
25%
2–0
15%
1–1
8%
0–1
7%
3–0
5%
Home
Lille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Le Havre AC
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.4 / 0.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lille vs Le Havre Ac?
Lille is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lille's current form?
Lille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lille won 4, drew 1, and Le Havre Ac won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 17%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Ligue 1