Match Analysis

LillevsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
25%
33%
Lille winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.25Avg goals scored2.02
0.77Avg goals conceded1.36
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lille xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lens xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Lille

Lille

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lens

Lens

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Lens?

Lille is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win42%
Draw25%
Lens Win33%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%