Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Lille xG
Expected goals
1.4
Paris Saint-Germain xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
7%
3–1
7%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
1–0
5%
Home
Lille
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lille vs Paris Saintgermain?
Lille is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lille's current form?
Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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