Match Analysis

Lille vs Paris Saintgermain

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
18%
21%
Lille winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.72Avg goals scored1.87
1.04Avg goals conceded1.74
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Lille xG

Expected goals

1.4

Paris Saint-Germain xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

21

9%

11

7%

31

7%

20

6%

22

6%

10

5%

Home

Lille

Lille

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Paris Saintgermain?

Lille is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lille Win61%
Draw18%
Paris Saint-Germain Win21%
BTTS69%
Over 2.575%

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