Match Analysis

Lille vs Troyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
21%
7%
Lille winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.53Avg goals scored0.00
0.36Avg goals conceded0.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Lille xG

Expected goals

0.4

Troyes xG

28%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

20%

20

18%

00

11%

30

11%

11

8%

21

7%

Home

Lille

Lille

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Troyes?

Lille is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lille Win72%
Draw21%
Troyes Win7%
BTTS28%
Over 2.538%

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