Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Lille xG
Expected goals
0.4
Troyes xG
28%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
20%
2–0
18%
0–0
11%
3–0
11%
1–1
8%
2–1
7%
Home
Lille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Troyes
PPG
2.00
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lille vs Troyes?
Lille is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lille's current form?
Lille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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