Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Lorient xG
Expected goals
0.5
AS Monaco xG
15%
Both Teams to Score
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
37%
0–1
18%
1–0
18%
1–1
9%
0–2
5%
2–0
5%
Home
Lorient
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
AS Monaco
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lorient vs As Monaco?
Lorient is favored with a 32% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lorient's current form?
Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lorient won 2, drew 2, and As Monaco won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (37% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 8%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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