Match Analysis

LorientvsBrest

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
27%
32%
Lorient winDrawBrest win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
0.82Avg goals scored1.78
0.58Avg goals conceded1.47
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1.2

Brest xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

0–1

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Brest

Brest

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Brest?

Lorient is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win41%
Draw27%
Brest Win32%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%