Match Analysis

LorientvsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
30%
33%
Lorient winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
0.82Avg goals scored1.25
0.58Avg goals conceded0.77
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1

Lille xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

12%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lille

Lille

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Lille?

Lorient is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win37%
Draw30%
Lille Win33%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%