Match Analysis

LorientvsParis FC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
27%
32%
Lorient winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
0.82Avg goals scored1.66
0.59Avg goals conceded1.40
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1.1

Paris FC xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–1

10%

0–0

9%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Paris FC?

Lorient is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win41%
Draw27%
Paris FC Win32%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%