Match Analysis

LorientvsStade Rennais

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
25%
36%
Lorient winDrawStade Rennais win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
0.82Avg goals scored2.47
0.58Avg goals conceded1.73
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1.4

Stade Rennais xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Stade Rennais?

Lorient is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win39%
Draw25%
Stade Rennais Win36%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%