Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Lorient xG
Expected goals
0.3
Toulouse xG
14%
Both Teams to Score
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
33%
1–0
27%
2–0
11%
0–1
10%
1–1
8%
2–1
3%
Home
Lorient
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lorient vs Toulouse?
Lorient is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lorient's current form?
Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lorient won 0, drew 2, and Toulouse won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (33% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 14%. Over 2.5 goals: 10%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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