Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Lorient xG
Expected goals
0.5
Troyes xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
27%
1–0
22%
0–1
14%
1–1
11%
2–0
9%
2–1
4%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $116K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Lorient
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Troyes
PPG
2.00
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lorient vs Troyes?
Lorient is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lorient's current form?
Lorient have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 14%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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