Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Lyon xG
Expected goals
1.5
AJ Auxerre xG
76%
Both Teams to Score
91%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
7%
4–1
7%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
4–2
5%
5–1
5%
Home
Lyon
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
AJ Auxerre
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.1 / 3.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lyon vs Aj Auxerre?
Lyon is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 2, drew 2, and Aj Auxerre won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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