Match Analysis

LyonvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
22%
38%
Lyon winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.46Avg goals scored2.61
1.08Avg goals conceded1.73
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.7

Marseille xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Marseille?

Lyon is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win40%
Draw22%
Marseille Win38%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%