Match Analysis

LyonvsNice

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
25%
29%
Lyon winDrawNice win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.46Avg goals scored1.22
1.08Avg goals conceded1.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.2

Nice xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Nice

Nice

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Nice?

Lyon is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win46%
Draw25%
Nice Win29%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%