Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.4
Lyon xG
Expected goals
1.3
Stade Rennais xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
8%
2–1
7%
4–1
7%
3–0
6%
2–0
5%
3–2
5%
Home
Lyon
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Stade Rennais
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lyon vs Stade Rennais?
Lyon is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 3, drew 0, and Stade Rennais won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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