Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Marseille xG
Expected goals
0.3
Le Havre AC xG
23%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
20%
1–0
17%
3–0
15%
4–0
9%
0–0
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Marseille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.1 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Le Havre AC
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.4 / 0.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Le Havre Ac?
Marseille is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Marseille won 6, drew 0, and Le Havre Ac won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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