Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.5
Le Mans xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
7%
1–1
6%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
1–2
5%
Home
Marseille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Le Mans
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Le Mans?
Marseille is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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