Match Analysis

MarseillevsNice

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
Marseille winDrawNice win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
2.62Avg goals scored1.22
1.73Avg goals conceded1.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Marseille xG

Expected goals

1.5

Nice xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Nice

Nice

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Nice?

Marseille is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win53%
Draw21%
Nice Win26%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%