Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Marseille xG
Expected goals
0.3
Paris FC xG
15%
Both Teams to Score
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
30%
1–0
27%
2–0
12%
0–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–1
4%
Home
Marseille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.1 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Paris FC
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Paris Fc?
Marseille is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, drew 1, and Paris Fc won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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