Match Analysis

Marseille vs Paris Fc

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
40%
10%
Marseille winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
3.12Avg goals scored0.78
0.43Avg goals conceded0.36
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Marseille xG

Expected goals

0.3

Paris FC xG

15%

Both Teams to Score

12%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

30%

10

27%

20

12%

01

9%

11

8%

21

4%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Marseilleall timeParis Fc
1W
1D
31 Jan 26
Paris FC22Marseille
23 Aug 25
Marseille52Paris FC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Paris Fc?

Marseille is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, drew 1, and Paris Fc won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Marseille Win50%
Draw40%
Paris FC Win10%
BTTS15%
Over 2.512%

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