Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.6
Toulouse xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
3–1
6%
1–0
5%
Home
Marseille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Toulouse?
Marseille is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1