Match Analysis

NicevsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
24%
40%
Nice winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.22Avg goals scored2.02
1.27Avg goals conceded1.36
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.6

Lens xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lens

Lens

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win36%
Draw24%
Lens Win40%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%