Match Analysis

Nice vs Lille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
59%
23%
Nice winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
0.22Avg goals scored1.52
0.34Avg goals conceded0.36
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Nice xG

Expected goals

0.4

Lille xG

9%

Both Teams to Score

3%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

50%

01

20%

10

15%

11

6%

02

4%

20

2%

Home

Nice

Nice

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.2 / 0.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Lille

Lille

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Niceall timeLille
1W
4D
1W
18 Apr 26
Lille00Nice
29 Oct 25
Nice20Lille
17 Jan 25
Lille21Nice
10 Nov 24
Nice22Lille
19 May 24
Lille22Nice
11 Aug 23
Nice11Lille

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 23% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Nice won 1, drew 4, and Lille won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (50% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 9%. Over 2.5 goals: 3%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Nice Win18%
Draw59%
Lille Win23%
BTTS9%
Over 2.53%

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