Match Analysis

NicevsParis Saint-Germain

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
24%
46%
Nice winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
1.22Avg goals scored2.15
1.27Avg goals conceded0.93
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.7

Paris Saint-Germain xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win30%
Draw24%
Paris Saint-Germain Win46%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%