Match Analysis

NicevsTroyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
23%
21%
Nice winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.20
1.22Avg goals scored0.52
1.27Avg goals conceded1.91
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Nice xG

Expected goals

1

Troyes xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

6%

0–1

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Troyes?

Nice is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win56%
Draw23%
Troyes Win21%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%