Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Paris FC xG
Expected goals
0.5
Lyon xG
18%
Both Teams to Score
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
33%
1–0
20%
0–1
17%
1–1
10%
2–0
6%
0–2
4%
Home
Paris FC
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Fc vs Lyon?
Paris FC is favored with a 26% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Fc's current form?
Paris Fc have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Paris Fc won 0, drew 2, and Lyon won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (33% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 10%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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