Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Paris FC xG
Expected goals
0.5
Stade Rennais xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
21%
0–0
15%
2–0
15%
1–1
10%
0–1
7%
2–1
7%
Home
Paris FC
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Stade Rennais
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Fc vs Stade Rennais?
Paris FC is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Fc's current form?
Paris Fc have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Paris Fc won 0, drew 0, and Stade Rennais won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Ligue 1