Paris Saintgermain vs Le Mans
FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
2.3
Le Mans xG
85%
Both Teams to Score
90%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
2–1
5%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
3–3
5%
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Le Mans
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saintgermain vs Le Mans?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saintgermain's current form?
Paris Saintgermain have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Ligue 1