Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
1
Lorient xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
1–1
12%
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
0–1
8%
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Lorient
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?
Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1