Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
2.1
Lyon xG
66%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–2
7%
1–3
7%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Lyon
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saintgermain vs Lyon?
Lyon is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saintgermain's current form?
Paris Saintgermain have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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