Match Analysis

Paris Saint-GermainvsParis FC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
22%
25%
Paris Saint-Germain winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.60
2.15Avg goals scored1.67
0.93Avg goals conceded1.41
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Paris Saint-Germain xG

Expected goals

1.3

Paris FC xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Paris Saint-Germain Win53%
Draw22%
Paris FC Win25%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%