Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
0.9
Troyes xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
8%
3–0
8%
3–1
7%
Model vs Market
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Troyes
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?
Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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