Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.1
Stade Rennais xG
Expected goals
3.2
Le Mans xG
92%
Both Teams to Score
95%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
5%
2–3
5%
3–2
5%
3–3
5%
2–4
4%
3–4
4%
Home
Stade Rennais
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Le Mans
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Le Mans?
Le Mans is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Stade Rennais's current form?
Stade Rennais have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 92%. Over 2.5 goals: 95%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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