Match Analysis

Stade RennaisvsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
23%
33%
Stade Rennais winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
2.47Avg goals scored1.25
1.73Avg goals conceded0.77
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Stade Rennais xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lille xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lille

Lille

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Lille?

Stade Rennais is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Stade Rennais's current form?

Stade Rennais have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Stade Rennais Win44%
Draw23%
Lille Win33%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%