Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Stade Rennais xG
Expected goals
4
Marseille xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
10%
0–4
10%
0–5
8%
0–2
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
Home
Stade Rennais
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Marseille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.1 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Marseille?
Marseille is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Stade Rennais's current form?
Stade Rennais have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Stade Rennais won 2, drew 0, and Marseille won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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