Match Analysis

StrasbourgvsBrest

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
21%
49%
Strasbourg winDrawBrest win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
1.26Avg goals scored1.78
2.34Avg goals conceded1.47
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Strasbourg xG

Expected goals

2

Brest xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Brest

Brest

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Strasbourg vs Brest?

Brest is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Strasbourg's current form?

Strasbourg have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Strasbourg Win30%
Draw21%
Brest Win49%
BTTS69%
Over 2.570%