Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
1.7
Lille xG
21%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
23%
0–2
20%
0–0
14%
0–3
11%
1–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Lille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Lille?
Lille is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Toulouse won 1, drew 1, and Lille won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (23% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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