Match Analysis

ToulousevsStade Rennais

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
22%
36%
Toulouse winDrawStade Rennais win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.56Avg goals scored2.47
1.14Avg goals conceded1.73
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

1.7

Stade Rennais xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Stade Rennais?

Toulouse is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Toulouse Win42%
Draw22%
Stade Rennais Win36%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%