Match Analysis

ToulousevsStrasbourg

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
20%
21%
Toulouse winDrawStrasbourg win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.40
1.56Avg goals scored1.26
1.14Avg goals conceded2.34
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

1.2

Strasbourg xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

2–0

8%

1–0

7%

3–1

7%

2–2

6%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Toulouse is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Toulouse Win59%
Draw20%
Strasbourg Win21%
BTTS62%
Over 2.566%