Match Analysis

Toulouse vs Troyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
25%
63%
Toulouse winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
0.44Avg goals scored0.00
1.52Avg goals conceded0.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

1.5

Troyes xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

20%

02

15%

00

14%

11

10%

03

8%

12

8%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

LWWDL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Troyes?

Troyes is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Toulouse Win12%
Draw25%
Troyes Win63%
BTTS31%
Over 2.532%

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