Match Analysis

ToulousevsTroyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
21%
18%
Toulouse winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.20
1.56Avg goals scored0.52
1.14Avg goals conceded1.91
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

0.9

Troyes xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

2–0

11%

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Troyes?

Toulouse is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Toulouse Win61%
Draw21%
Troyes Win18%
BTTS51%
Over 2.555%