Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
0.9
Troyes xG
51%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
11%
2–0
11%
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Troyes
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Troyes?
Toulouse is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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