Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Toulouse xG
Expected goals
1.5
Troyes xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
20%
0–2
15%
0–0
14%
1–1
10%
0–3
8%
1–2
8%
Home
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Troyes
PPG
2.00
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Troyes?
Troyes is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Toulouse's current form?
Toulouse have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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