Match Analysis

TroyesvsLe Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
25%
40%
Troyes winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.00
0.52Avg goals scored1.19
1.91Avg goals conceded2.01
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Troyes xG

Expected goals

1.5

Le Mans xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Le Mans?

Le Mans is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win35%
Draw25%
Le Mans Win40%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%