Match Analysis

Troyes vs Lens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
13%
73%
Troyes winDrawLens win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.40
0.00Avg goals scored3.58
0.00Avg goals conceded1.48
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Troyes xG

Expected goals

3.6

Lens xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

90%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

7%

14

6%

23

6%

12

5%

22

5%

24

5%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lens

Lens

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

3.6 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Troyes Win14%
Draw13%
Lens Win73%
BTTS79%
Over 2.590%

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