Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Troyes xG
Expected goals
1.9
Lens xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
8%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
Home
Troyes
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Lens
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Troyes vs Lens?
Lens is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Troyes's current form?
Troyes have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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