Match Analysis

Troyes vs Marseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
9%
88%
Troyes winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
0.00Avg goals scored3.11
0.00Avg goals conceded0.44
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Troyes xG

Expected goals

3.1

Marseille xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

03

14%

02

13%

04

11%

01

8%

05

7%

12

7%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Troyes Win3%
Draw9%
Marseille Win88%
BTTS38%
Over 2.570%

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