Match Analysis

TroyesvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
20%
59%
Troyes winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.40
0.52Avg goals scored2.62
1.91Avg goals conceded1.73
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Troyes xG

Expected goals

2.2

Marseille xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win21%
Draw20%
Marseille Win59%
BTTS65%
Over 2.568%