Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Troyes xG
Expected goals
3.1
Marseille xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
14%
0–2
13%
0–4
11%
0–1
8%
0–5
7%
1–2
7%
Home
Troyes
PPG
2.00
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Marseille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.1 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Troyes vs Marseille?
Marseille is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Troyes's current form?
Troyes have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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