Match Analysis

AFC BournemouthvsLeeds United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
26%
34%
AFC Bournemouth winDrawLeeds United win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.20
1.67Avg goals scored0.99
1.51Avg goals conceded0.77
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected goals

1.3

Leeds United xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Leeds United

Leeds United

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AFC Bournemouth's current form?

AFC Bournemouth have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AFC Bournemouth Win40%
Draw26%
Leeds United Win34%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%