Match Analysis

Afc Bournemouth vs Liverpool

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
17%
46%
AFC Bournemouth winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.80
1.11Avg goals scored1.86
1.24Avg goals conceded2.05
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected goals

1.6

Liverpool xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

10%

21

9%

12

8%

22

7%

10

6%

01

5%

Home

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DDDLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Afc Bournemouthall timeLiverpool
1W
5W
24 Jan 26
AFC Bournemouth32Liverpool
15 Aug 25
Liverpool42AFC Bournemouth
1 Feb 25
AFC Bournemouth02Liverpool
21 Sep 24
Liverpool30AFC Bournemouth
21 Jan 24
AFC Bournemouth04Liverpool
19 Aug 23
Liverpool31AFC Bournemouth

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Afc Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Afc Bournemouth's current form?

Afc Bournemouth have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Afc Bournemouth won 1, drew 0, and Liverpool won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

AFC Bournemouth Win37%
Draw17%
Liverpool Win46%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%

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