Afc Bournemouth vs Sunderland
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected goals
1.1
Sunderland xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–1
10%
0–0
9%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
Home
AFC Bournemouth
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Sunderland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Afc Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Sunderland is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Afc Bournemouth's current form?
Afc Bournemouth have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Afc Bournemouth won 0, drew 1, and Sunderland won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Premier League