Arsenal vs Leeds United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Arsenal xG
Expected goals
0.3
Leeds United xG
17%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
27%
0–0
25%
2–0
15%
1–1
8%
0–1
7%
3–0
5%
Home
Arsenal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.1
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Leeds United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Leeds United?
Arsenal is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Arsenal won 2, drew 0, and Leeds United won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (27% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 17%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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