What is the H2H record between Aston Villa and Arsenal?

In the last 6 meetings in this competition, Aston Villa won 3 times, there were 1 draws, and Arsenal won 2 times.

Match Analysis

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Q: Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Based on current form and H2H history, Arsenal is favored with a 80% win probability according to PaceScore's statistical model.

Q: What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa's last 5 matches: 3W 0D 2L (1.80 points per game).

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

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Win Probability

13%

80%

Aston Villa winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40

0.98Avg goals scored2.44

3.02Avg goals conceded0.13

3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

Arsenal xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

14%

0–4

14%

0–5

12%

0–2

11%

0–1

1–3

Model vs Market

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Outcome

Our Model

Market

Edge

Aston Villa

13%

14%

FAIR

Draw

—

Arsenal

80%

86%

-6%

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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Aston Villa

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Arsenal

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Aston Villaall timeArsenal

30 Dec 25

Arsenal4–1Aston Villa

6 Dec 25

Aston Villa2–1Arsenal

18 Jan 25

Arsenal2–2Aston Villa

24 Aug 24

Aston Villa0–2Arsenal

14 Apr 24

Arsenal0–2Aston Villa

9 Dec 23

Aston Villa1–0Arsenal

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Aston Villa won 3, drew 1, and Arsenal won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Aston Villa Win13%

Draw7%

Arsenal Win80%

BTTS25%

Over 2.580%

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